The future for Publishers

Free distribution of digital content (music, books, visual art) is embraced by—and benefits—customers because it gives them access to a much wider range of content. This is because the restrictions on the amount of content they could get—based on how much they can financially afford—is eliminated.

Instead of money, the bottleneck becomes the time required to find content they’re interested in - this is where Google leads the field by providing an ever-improving and expanding search facility for finding the content, whether it’s webpages, books, news, academic articles, images etc.

Free distribution of digital content is slowly being embraced by—and will benefit—creators (artists, musicians, authors etc.) because it allows their work—and reputation—to be distributed to a much wider audience.

Musicians such as The Charlatans and Nine Inch Nails are making headlines with new ways to make money while giving away MP3 files of their music for free (and unsigned bands have been doing it for years).

Authors such as Suze Orman and Dan Solove are giving away free ebook versions of their books, in the knowledge that the wider distribution this gives them helps to sell more paper copies of their books.

So where does this leave publishers? The book publishing companies and music companies seem to have been left out of this equation. You could argue that they’ve left themselves out of the equation by desperately attempting to pretend that the business model of content creation hasn’t changed while vainly suing fans for the crime of being early adopters of a new economy.

Actually, there is a role for clued-up skills-rich publishers. It’s just a slightly different role than they’re used to. The clues can be found when you examine the new business model summarised above and look for the holes. That’s what I’m going to try to do now (but not exhaustively - I’ll leave that to people much smarter than me).

Publishers can provide instant attention

As mentioned above, one of the biggest benefits to both creators and consumers is that content is more widely distributed and available to all. But in a world where a huge amount of digital content is free, finding that content is hard - it’s like finding a few choice needles in a field of haystacks.

Obviously search engines provide front-end interfaces for finding that content, but that’s not enough. Search engines such as Google need to interpret the searcher’s requirements and display the most relevant results first. Google’s algorithm relies on correctly interpreting the relevancy and reputation of each piece of digital content in order to give their users the right results.

Publishers can provide a huge amount of relevancy and reputation because Publishers’ old-business-model reputations have been translated into high rankings for their websites.

A record company specialising in hip-hop music has already built-up a reputation and many incoming links from hip-hop-orientated websites, whether they’re sites belonging to hip-hop musicians, fan-sites, hip-hop forums, etc.

A publishing company specialising in a particular niche—whether it’s an academic subject area, a particular genre such as science fiction, or a particular service such as news & current affairs—will have built up a reputation (and the accompanying relevant incoming links) from other websites in their particular niche. If I was publishing this blog post in the Freakonomics column of the New York Times then the chances are that it would get a lot more attention!

This reputation and the resulting links are incredibly valuable because they’re both numerous and extremely relevant, and can take years to build up. So Publishers are already well-positioned to take on the role of distributing instant reputation and relevancy to creators. After all, that’s one of the things they’ve been doing for centuries.

So publishers need to revalue their business models so that the bestowal of reputation and relevancy (and therefore attention) is seen as a major service that they can offer to creators. In order to better leverage this service, publishers need to work closely with relevant communities. That means actively engaging in conversations with their niche communities on email lists, discussion forums, social networks, and blogs (and in the non-digital world at conferences, gigs, book-signings, etc.).

Publishers can provide quality control and specialist technical expertise

Creators are not perfect, and most are grateful for help.

An author’s work frequently benefits from the skills of their editorial team, which is why you’ll often see the editor thanked in the author’s acknowledgements in the front of their book. The book production team use their amassed knowledge of design and typography to turn a word-processed manuscript into a professionally laid-out book that is a pleasure to read.

Musicians benefit from the editorial and technical skills of the producers & engineers who spend a huge amount of time coaxing the best performances from them, then expertly mix the raw sound into a polished—or artfully unpolished—finished track.

Moving back to the web, authors or musicians are unlikely to be their own web team. I’m not just talking about being able to throw a website together, I’m talking about a full web team consisting of ecommerce programmers, web developers, web designers, SEO experts, and emarketing strategists. Sure anyone can put a small website online (and that’s one of the great things about the web) but as the web has evolved the skills necessary to create and maintain a good website have both multiplied and increased in their complexity.

Any content creator—author, musician, or artist—can’t be expected to have all these expert skills, and hiring them individually (and project-managing the coordination between them) would be expensive and a huge consumption of valuable time and effort that would be far better spent doing what the creator actually excels at: writing, composing, playing, or painting.

That isn’t to say that the author or musician shouldn’t be directly communicating with their fans - they should. But managing the framework that enables and amplifies this communication is a job for a dedicated team.

So, publishing companies should be positioned to provide services that greatly enhance both the book/music and the online presence of the author/musician.

Again, this is already something that publishing companies do, but they need to emphasise this aspect of their service and market it as a suite of valuable services that they can provide to creators.

But publishers need to make money

Obviously publishing companies will want to be paid for providing these professional services - they need to make a profit. At the moment they get this money by charging for content, but as more digital content becomes free then this particular revenue stream will start to dry up.

I think that paper copies of books will continue to sell, as will CDs & DVDs. Returning to Nine Inch Nail’s recent release of Ghosts, even though Trent Reznor made the first 9 tracks available free of charge, he also released various paid versions from a full digital download of 36 tracks for $5 to a $300 ultra-deluxe limited edition package.

The $300 Ultra-deluxe limited edition package has already sold out, despite there being multiple cheaper (and even free) versions available. This utilises the generative of “embodiment” coined by Kevin Kelly which I’ve already talked about in a previous blog post. Hardback bindings of paperback books are another long-standing example of this strategy.

So higher-quality (higher revenue) non-digital formats are one revenue stream that could be added to sales of non-digital content in “standard” formats (paperbacks, CDs etc). This strategy can also be expanded to cover revenue from supplementary material such as subscription elearning software for textbooks or t-shirts and posters of musicians. Again this is something that is already happening (especially within the music industry) so the groundwork has already been done.

But to offset this, expensive traditional marketing (direct mail advertising, broadcast television ads) is going to have to be drastically reduced. I can’t think of any way to recoup the huge amounts of money spent on direct mail and mass-market broadcast ads in this newly emerging marketplace - it’s just not viable. Certainly not when you can better reach a more carefully-selected market (i.e. with a much greater percentage of potential customers) by spending much less money online.

The traditional marketing model of throwing a huge amount of cash—in the form of TV ads, billboards or direct mail campaigns—at an undifferentiated mass of people can only be sustained when you (artificially) control the scarcity of your product. When your product loses that scarcity (i.e. it can be easily copied and redistributed online) then you simply can’t keep following this old dogma. I’m not going to go into more detail about this because it’s been explained before by the likes of Chris Anderson, Kevin Kelly, Michael Masnick, and Umair Haque (amongst many others).

Unfortunately this is where many companies in the publishing and music industries “don’t get it”. They do understand the ideas of new revenue streams and the benefits of free content, but they can’t imagine not having to shovel vast amounts of cash into the raging furnace that is the traditional (obsolete) marketing system - they don’t understand that the potential cost of their marketing is plummeting for exactly the same reasons of efficient distribution and connectivity.

Once they accept this (and realign their marketing strategy accordingly) then the equation will balance and they’ll see the profit.

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12 Responses so far »

  1. 1

    Chris O'Byrne said,

    March 24, 2008 @ 2:23 pm

    There is A LOT of great information here! It is so interesting to watch how web development is progressing from “anyone can do it” to “it requires a team”. And it does. If I was an upcoming musican, I would hire a team to take care of all the pieces. Fortunately, even us lesser mortals can replicate this by outsourcing. Using services like Elance (and many others), you can find people to inexpensively handle each of the piece. I may concentrate on writing content while someone else does my SEO and somebody else handles my email marketing campaign.

    So much to ponder…

  2. 2

    Paul Watson said,

    March 24, 2008 @ 2:27 pm

    Thanks, Chris. It’s a summary of a few things I’ve been thinking about recently. I think “outsourcing” is the solution - and publishing companies and record companies need to position themselves as the leading one-stop experts for all these out-sourced requirements.

  3. 3

    Future Roles of Book Publishers said,

    March 28, 2008 @ 7:29 pm

    [...] Watson has written an essay entitled The Future for Publishers in which he suggests new roles publishers will play in content promotion, distribution, and [...]

  4. 4

    Jeff said,

    March 28, 2008 @ 10:30 pm

    We seem to be thinking along the same lines, mostly. I totally agree that publishers should take on the role of managing the framework and team needed to support an author’s Web presence. But I’m not so sure that all digital content will be free. A lot will be free but there are many people very willing to pay for digital content when it is presented in a way that provides a perceived value.

  5. 5

    Paul Watson said,

    March 28, 2008 @ 10:50 pm

    @Jeff: Thanks for the comment. I agree - not all digital content will end up being free, but I think that a lot of it eventually will be.

    As you say, there are always added-value business models that allow for charges to be made (for example, by providing up-to-the-minute customised/specialised content streamed to subscribers - although I would probably argue that technically it’s just the immediate delivery of that customised content that is being charged for, rather than the content itself).

    Similarly university libraries and other researchers may still continue to pay to subscribe to digital content repositories—online academic journals etc.—because what they’re actually paying for is the reliability of the information (assured by the peer review process & the reputation of the publisher).

  6. 6

    Jeff said,

    March 29, 2008 @ 2:31 pm

    Hi Paul - Just a point about your comment regarding libraries. (I’m a former academic librarian.) Universities libraries are big supporters of open access to information that incorporates peer review. Those hefty subscriptions to e-journals have more to do with the journals being published by mega-publishers such as Reed Elsevier and Thomson. Libraries are paying for access and the value-added search tools, not the reputation of the publisher (except in cases of scholarly societies). There are several cases of researchers leaving overpriced journals to start new open access journals or journals at a lower subscription price.

    Ironically, as a librarian I was very supportive of free information, particularly since my salary (and that of the faculty that produce the actual articles) were covered by the university. Now that I’m producing my own content and also working directly with authors and publishers on book design, I’ve developed a different perspective. Of course, even academic publishers supporting open access need to figure out some type of cost-recovery revenue source since parent institutions always have competing demands for resources.

    Regardless, these are fascinating times for publishing and libraries.

  7. 7

    Paul Watson said,

    March 30, 2008 @ 10:19 am

    Hi Jeff

    Open Access is obviously a rapidly growing movement - I don’t have the references to hand, but I seem to remember some major research universities (Harvard, maybe?) are starting to demand that all research they do is published under open access, and I think any EU-funded research must be published freely (again, I can’t remember exactly - I’m sure you’d have a better recollection than me!).

    I take your point that Libraries are paying for the value-added search tools: this is where academic journal publishers need to concentrate their efforts if they are to continue be part of the business model - if the content itself is free then the academic publishers need to provide a very impressive and valuable framework around the content and sell that instead. The potential features and functionality of such a framework would fill another article like this!

    I think reputation does come into it - the reputation of the journal is one of the factors assuring the reliability of the research (hand-in-hand with peer review etc). University libraries need to be able to have “the right type” of content, and if they were providing access to repositories of unreliable research then they’d be doing a major disservice to the researchers, professors and students.

    And yes, these are very fascinating times!

  8. 8

    The Daily Square - Superfan Edition | Booksquare said,

    April 4, 2008 @ 9:58 pm

    [...] The future for Publishers of books, music and other artworkOne man’s view of the new publishing business model. [...]

  9. 9

    The Money Issue : How will Authors Survive in the Digital Future | The Litopia Writers' Podcast said,

    April 5, 2008 @ 4:56 pm

    [...] Paul Watson at Lazarus.co.uk has a blog post which outlines the different revenue models. [...]

  10. 10

    Valya said,

    April 5, 2008 @ 11:03 pm

    Hi Paul,

    Great article. Wondering what you think of a networking site like http://www.ABNABooks.com

    The online marketplace, showcase, and networking site for writers was created after writers met on the Amazon Breakthrough Novel Award forum.

  11. 11

    Paul Watson said,

    April 6, 2008 @ 12:22 pm

    @Valya - I think that communities such as ABNA Books are important as they empower authors by encouraging communication between them.

    I think ABNA could be more powerful if it started to encourage communication between authors and the other players in book publishing: publishers, editors, marketing staff, POD facilitators. Networking within your own micro-community is Step One. Creating a conversation that blurs the edges between the various communities involved in the whole process can generate far more interesting avenues.

  12. 12

    Valya said,

    April 24, 2008 @ 7:02 pm

    Thanks, Paul. I agree that would be a great next step for us. Any suggestions or thoughts about how to encourage that level of communication?

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